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7 (IQR 11.3-18.5) and 14.5days (IQR 11.8-20., respectively. Multivariate analysis showed increased Hazards Ratio of disease progression associated with older age, lymphocyte count1.1×10⁹/L, blood urea nitrogen (BUN) 9.5mmol/L, lactate dehydrogenase250 U/L and procalcitonin0.1ng/mL at admission. These factors were also associated with the risk of death except for BUN. Prediction models in terms of nomogram for clinical deterioration and death were established to illustrate the probability. These findings provide insights
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