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3% as high CCI. Although all models performed better than base model (age and sex) for prediction of 30-day mortality, there was little difference between CCI and HFRS in model discrimination (AUC 0.76 versus 0.75), although CCI provided better model fit (AIC 79,020 versus 79,91. All models had poor ability to predict prolonged LOS (AUC range 0.62-0.63) or readmission (AUC range 0.62-0.65). Using a 5-year lookback period did not improve model discrimination over the 2-year period. adjusting for HFRS did not improve prediction of 30-m
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